TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,222,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,240,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,222,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x983e…6748backed Yes41c887,841$360,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527,630.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes41c350,000$143,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No56c339,377$190,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,286.376145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No60c230,000$137,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,7001414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No59c100,007$59,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,022.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No59c100,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No59c98,164$58,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,402.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes54c81,397$44,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,385.422055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No58c76,597$44,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,197.6115051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No59c64,146$37,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,846.132437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No60c62,500$37,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,501.929028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No52c61,169$31,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,621.791968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No59c57,049$33,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,719.396023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c49,853$17,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,708.164,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No59c36,750$21,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,682.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes40c31,413$12,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,847.85337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes46c30,853$14,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,506.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No60c28,939$17,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,363.239154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes43c27,378$11,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,512.912553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c27,192$15,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,549.81,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.993268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes54c23,727$12,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,914.392250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No9c20,000$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c19,276$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.0883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No55c19,012$10,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,471.746235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No60c17,082$10,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,247.521729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No59c16,528$9,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,747.983050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8a…718dbacked No57c11,857$6,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,745.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes45c10,500$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.7337829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c9,673$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.7968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes44c9,546$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,386.741723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes71c9,430$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.8422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes42c9,289$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c8,806$3,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.143,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No44c7,666$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.557139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes64c7,663$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Yes67c6,818$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c6,572$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.551,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c6,248$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.542,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No59c6,150$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No46c6,045$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+79.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.969443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes57c5,803$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.412240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No59c5,775$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes47c5,213$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c4,980$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.3864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes61c4,176$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes47c4,107$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.4210736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c3,801$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.0369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes42c3,437$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c3,393$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.5875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No28c3,377$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes44c3,172$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No59c3,064$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8083135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes57c3,000$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c26…98b9backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes44c2,350$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.98147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-83.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No59c2,348$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.029058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No59c2,332$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.889956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes45c2,203$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.151145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes41c2,110$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.281145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No38c2,099$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.011,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed No12c2,072$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked Yes40c2,062$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+87%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c2,038$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.9140239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes49c2,025$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.861435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes54c2,004$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.814540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18048153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.942147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes41c1,998$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5319632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No60c1,794$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.46746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No58c1,780$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c0b…3f28backed No59c1,727$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No50c1,681$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.522055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No59c1,642$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5712546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No19c1,621$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid+389.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.772352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No41c1,368$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1122553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No9c1,233$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.421040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…1d11backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes41c1,208$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.913051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc971…54bcbacked No63c1,165$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No29c1,108$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…93f1backed No59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes41c958$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No59c950$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.55442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No59c925.6$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.