NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda96be0fa01cbeee8c460653a75c34483ea859915dd3c8523036334c67de4be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 56c | 81,017$44,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,986.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 42,280$18,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,938.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Under | 47c | 24,400$11,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,932 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Over | 53c | 24,400$12,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,932 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 21,516$9,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,619.3 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 10,031$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 52c | 3,446$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.11 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,125$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Under | 68c | 738.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 47c | 722$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 45c | 622$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 361.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 48c | 293.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 256.4$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Over | 51c | 254$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 142.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…2589backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 55c | 118.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 108.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 46c | 56.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 61c | 43.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 48c | 41.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Over | 37c | 41.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 41.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…b664backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.