CS2 · resolved market
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b28712379298a406592b764cee6eaa4d963b689f971fa40a66141e7930b91c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x584e…c754backed Yes | 22c | 1,130$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 22c | 1,045$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 19c | 987.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 313.2$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 280$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 27c | 271.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 73c | 254.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes | 9c | 171.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…c495backed Yes | 30c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…2146backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 20c | 128.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 76c | 114.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 111.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 78c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…cbefbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…3428backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…ef74backed No | 78c | 53.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…00d3backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed No | 72c | 36.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 76c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…5558backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…cca1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 78c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?this page
- Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.