CS2 · resolved market
Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6c5afd5e4073d1ea547f8b1b87a90e8709d9e059b975ae38fc857a65501460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,152$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.49 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed No | 79c | 2,667$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 75c | 1,792$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 26c | 1,305$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…9fb7backed Yes | 21c | 957$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 78c | 618.9$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 10c | 339.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes | 21c | 268.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Yes | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…74e6backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 21c | 110.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 83.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 40.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…5368backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 76c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…e838backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 71c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?this page
- Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.