Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd85fbbc0833c135057e266fad92dd550869f00cc63b860c94123bea7cc9c393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinko Matsudaof Rinko Matsuda, Meng Yi Chen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Meng Yi Chen | 21c | 14,549$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.09 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rinko Matsuda | 71c | 6,806$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.25 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Meng Yi Chen | 20c | 5,300$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.57 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Meng Yi Chen | 40c | 2,509$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Meng Yi Chen | 23c | 1,978$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.45 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Rinko Matsuda | 78c | 1,922$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Meng Yi Chen | 26c | 1,475$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Meng Yi Chen | 26c | 1,021$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Meng Yi Chen | 20c | 996.51$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Rinko Matsuda | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Meng Yi Chen | 14c | 567.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Meng Yi Chen | 34c | 553.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Meng Yi Chen | 43c | 457.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 355 | 50.7%180 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Meng Yi Chen | 27c | 450.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Meng Yi Chen | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Rinko Matsuda | 78c | 378.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 278 | 55.8%155 W · 123 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rinko Matsuda | 75c | 375.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Meng Yi Chen | 38c | 368.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Meng Yi Chen | 23c | 326.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rinko Matsuda | 75c | 314.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Rinko Matsuda | 79c | 289.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Meng Yi Chen | 20c | 273.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 258.06$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Rinko Matsuda | 79c | 252.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Meng Yi Chen | 19c | 249.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 243.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Meng Yi Chen | 17c | 223.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Rinko Matsuda | 70c | 204.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Meng Yi Chen | 10c | 189.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Meng Yi Chen | 17c | 171.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Meng Yi Chen | 15c | 157.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rinko Matsuda | 64c | 152.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Rinko Matsuda | 80c | 149.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…bee1backed Meng Yi Chen | 48c | 145.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Meng Yi Chen | 17c | 143.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Meng Yi Chen | 27c | 143.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Rinko Matsuda | 78c | 126.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rinko Matsuda | 41c | 118.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Meng Yi Chen | 15c | 106.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Meng Yi Chen | 60c | 105.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…11afbacked Meng Yi Chen | 35c | 102.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rinko Matsuda | 76c | 92.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Meng Yi Chen | 30c | 90.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Meng Yi Chen | 23c | 78.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Meng Yi Chen | 31c | 78.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Rinko Matsuda | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…9a43backed Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 72.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Rinko Matsuda | 69c | 71.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…342dbacked Rinko Matsuda | 79c | 69.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Rinko Matsuda | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…82a5backed Meng Yi Chen | 27c | 67.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Rinko Matsuda | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Rinko Matsuda | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Meng Yi Chen | 18c | 63.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Meng Yi Chen | 21c | 60.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Meng Yi Chen | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…0ff8backed Meng Yi Chen | 43c | 56.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Rinko Matsuda | 73c | 56.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…2247backed Rinko Matsuda | 71c | 54.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Rinko Matsuda | 69c | 50.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Meng Yi Chen | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Rinko Matsuda | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Rinko Matsuda | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Rinko Matsuda | 59c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Rinko Matsuda | 77c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.