Tennis · resolved market
Svajda vs. Walton: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5fa44f3f59e0c74c7bb51b6d057d1445cc29300e8d026bd7c8e341df5fc438b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 21,161$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,160.73 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 14,862$7,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,133.7 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 1,105$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,003$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.65 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 54c | 990.79$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.24 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 339.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 255.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 49c | 105.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over | 51c | 61.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…9dfebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 47c | 36.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 53c | 26.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Svajda vs. Walton: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam WaltonZachary Svajda won
- Set 1 Winner: Svajda vs WaltonSvajda won
- Zachary Svajda vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.