Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1e298cdaad27177123cfb520e44f618b48659872743d189e4b57dd2468eafb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cirstea | 59c | 23,583$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gauff | 41c | 21,365$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,688.7 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cirstea | 59c | 4,766$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.9 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Gauff | 45c | 4,493$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Gauff | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 41c | 749.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 40c | 601$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Gauff | 44c | 427.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Gauff | 42c | 300$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Cirstea | 57c | 262.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Cirstea | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Gauff | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Cirstea | 57c | 206.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Gauff | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Gauff | 42c | 152.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Cirstea | 55c | 135.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Cirstea | 59c | 132.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Gauff | 41c | 129.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Cirstea | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gauff | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Cirstea | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Gauff | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6f…ec8bbacked Cirstea | 57c | 60.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Gauff | 44c | 59.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gauff | 44c | 50.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gauff | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Gauff | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gauff | 43c | 45.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Gauff | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Gauff | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…a1adbacked Cirstea | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Gauff | 44c | 31.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…9a74backed Cirstea | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Gauff | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0acabacked Cirstea | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…9c51backed Cirstea | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…1369backed Cirstea | 57c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)this page
- Cirstea vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cirstea vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs GauffGauff won
- Sorana Cirstea vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.