TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magda Linetteof Magda Linette, Varvara Gracheva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,859 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x081e…f76ebacked Magda Linette53c10,146$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.241,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Varvara Gracheva45c10,037$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,516.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Varvara Gracheva41c7,008$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8739247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Magda Linette59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8703366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Varvara Gracheva49c4,763$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Varvara Gracheva46c4,426$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.082,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Varvara Gracheva52c3,976$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.067,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Gracheva50c3,909$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magda Linette52c3,359$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.4219241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Magda Linette71c3,311$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.112,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b44…f6eabacked Varvara Gracheva46c3,100$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bd…5926backed Magda Linette54c3,100$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8339…db47backed Magda Linette54c3,061$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce47…cbdcbacked Varvara Gracheva46c3,061$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Magda Linette55c2,261$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.7418548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Varvara Gracheva3c2,119$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.481,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…9c51backed Magda Linette53c1,733$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.381752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Magda Linette54c1,709$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.71,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb6…0030backed Varvara Gracheva47c1,705$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Varvara Gracheva48c1,578$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Varvara Gracheva46c1,423$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.5820336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Varvara Gracheva46c1,381$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.52,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Varvara Gracheva31c1,198$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.623,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Magda Linette41c1,108$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.5544038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79e8…db51backed Varvara Gracheva48c1,079$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Varvara Gracheva47c1,060$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Varvara Gracheva54c991.08$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.72,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Varvara Gracheva12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Varvara Gracheva47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Varvara Gracheva46c733.31$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2378536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Varvara Gracheva41c715.36$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2957949.4%39 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Magda Linette53c682.49$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.962,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Magda Linette25c673.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4872132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Magda Linette37c668.27$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.3226131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Magda Linette54c638$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4811045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Varvara Gracheva43c599.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.998446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Magda Linette34c580.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1920643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Magda Linette39c560.25$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Magda Linette54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.567064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Gracheva43c553.49$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.564,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magda Linette52c481.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.357,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Varvara Gracheva74c471.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Magda Linette56c455.04$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.011643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa550…09cdbacked Varvara Gracheva55c437.81$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Varvara Gracheva39c427.07$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.171,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Magda Linette41c417.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.761,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Magda Linette50c397.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.612538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magda Linette50c397.45$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.731,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Magda Linette49c396.66$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.179,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Magda Linette49c391$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.911,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Magda Linette47c367$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Varvara Gracheva20c350.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Varvara Gracheva44c337.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Magda Linette33c331.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.871,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Magda Linette53c318.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Varvara Gracheva52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15642839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Magda Linette57c288.18$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.925250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Varvara Gracheva33c283.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.542157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Varvara Gracheva47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.91,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Magda Linette48c251$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.231,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Varvara Gracheva46c246$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1626254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Varvara Gracheva56c241.4$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.772,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Magda Linette54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7443448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Magda Linette47c224$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7212153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829e…2c6dbacked Varvara Gracheva46c219.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Varvara Gracheva47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Magda Linette38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Varvara Gracheva45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Magda Linette54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Varvara Gracheva46c185.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Magda Linette54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1919744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magda Linette61c183.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.798,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Varvara Gracheva55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Varvara Gracheva39c178.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4796755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Magda Linette48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Magda Linette57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Magda Linette44c173.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1765346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Magda Linette59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Varvara Gracheva55c166.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Magda Linette61c164$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9653457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Magda Linette53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4927344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Varvara Gracheva48c148.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.717,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Magda Linette57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3510649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Magda Linette53c129.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.337237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Varvara Gracheva63c118$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.681,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Magda Linette54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1152661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Varvara Gracheva78c110.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3273458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Varvara Gracheva71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Magda Linette24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38df…4609backed Magda Linette53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Magda Linette55c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.514746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Varvara Gracheva52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Magda Linette45c95.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0326349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Varvara Gracheva46c92.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6443353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Magda Linette56c91.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.138855.7%49 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Varvara Gracheva46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Magda Linette58c85.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.761,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Magda Linette62c85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magda Linette68c81.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Varvara Gracheva43c81.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.161,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.