Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022469c51438467ddd2159111e5bb2359439cc7af1f70b9876985ac65d0964e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moutetof Schoolkate, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Schoolkate | 20c | 5,441$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.98 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Schoolkate | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Schoolkate | 13c | 3,734$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Schoolkate | 20c | 3,580$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.9 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Moutet | 71c | 3,519$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.36 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Moutet | 70c | 2,572$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Moutet | 73c | 2,441$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Schoolkate | 30c | 2,332$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Schoolkate | 8c | 2,076$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Moutet | 77c | 2,072$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Schoolkate | 1c | 1,992$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Schoolkate | 27c | 1,390$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Moutet | 76c | 1,372$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Moutet | 70c | 1,344$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Moutet | 80c | 1,237$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…6906backed Schoolkate | 19c | 1,179$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Schoolkate | 29c | 990$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Moutet | 71c | 958.77$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.04 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Moutet | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Schoolkate | 34c | 696.54$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Schoolkate | 29c | 691.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Schoolkate | 30c | 649.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Schoolkate | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Moutet | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Moutet | 80c | 497.7$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Moutet | 72c | 425$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Schoolkate | 28c | 368$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Schoolkate | 7c | 366$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Schoolkate | 6c | 361.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Moutet | 77c | 260.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Schoolkate | 24c | 229.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Schoolkate | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Moutet | 76c | 171.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Moutet | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Schoolkate | 19c | 156.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Schoolkate | 16c | 139.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Moutet | 75c | 123.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Moutet | 70c | 122.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Schoolkate | 20c | 113.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Schoolkate | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Moutet | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Schoolkate | 19c | 72.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Moutet | 79c | 69.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Moutet | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Moutet | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…3380backed Schoolkate | 29c | 54.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Moutet | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Schoolkate | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Schoolkate | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moutet | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Schoolkate | 53c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Moutet | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Moutet | 79c | 29.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Moutet | 75c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Moutet | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Moutet | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Moutet | 72c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Moutet | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Moutet | 78c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Moutet | 78c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Moutet | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…6d1ebacked Moutet | 75c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutetthis page
- Schoolkate vs. Moutet: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Schoolkate vs. Moutet: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Schoolkate vs MoutetMoutet won
- Set Handicap: Moutet (-2.5) vs Schoolkate (+2.5)Moutet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.