Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maddison Inglis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00929aadb6f0014ae26a953f5b5b42edb0c6aeb5590deb2f7b1197640c5d14b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inglisof Korpatsch, Inglis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inglis | 80c | 2,371$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Korpatsch | 31c | 1,515$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.55 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Korpatsch | 14c | 656.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Korpatsch | 35c | 555.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Korpatsch | 2c | 533.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Inglis | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Korpatsch | 17c | 478.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Inglis | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Korpatsch | 14c | 251.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Korpatsch | 53c | 229.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Inglis | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Inglis | 66c | 189.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Inglis | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Korpatsch | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Korpatsch | 53c | 148.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Korpatsch | 18c | 85.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Inglis | 43c | 83.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Korpatsch | 54c | 70.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Korpatsch | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Inglis | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Korpatsch | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Inglis | 47c | 37.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inglis | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Inglis | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Korpatsch | 68c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.