Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346d4de5fb23181d9345c92be295a8071000c93b0d4ebe08af551f2bbd0e0f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fruhvirtovaof Lee, Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Lee | 34c | 2,211$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.19 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fruhvirtova | 65c | 1,285$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lee | 43c | 1,282$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lee | 36c | 1,119$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Fruhvirtova | 57c | 895.33$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fruhvirtova | 57c | 850$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lee | 24c | 755.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fruhvirtova | 69c | 695$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Fruhvirtova | 60c | 505.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lee | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fruhvirtova | 64c | 459.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lee | 41c | 420$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Fruhvirtova | 59c | 411$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fruhvirtova | 46c | 394.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fruhvirtova | 56c | 352$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Lee | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Fruhvirtova | 62c | 347.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lee | 34c | 252.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Lee | 41c | 192$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lee | 45c | 175$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Fruhvirtova | 64c | 139.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Fruhvirtova | 41c | 106$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fruhvirtova | 61c | 82.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Fruhvirtova | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Lee | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fruhvirtova | 58c | 68.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lee | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Lee | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Lee | 38c | 29.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Lee | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Fruhvirtova | 68c | 20.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Fruhvirtova | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fruhvirtova | 69c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.