Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2233bb2fcc47760c7bfe314804fcc7c2018a44607cbacd39f7970d63e7d656b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Scorchersof Perth Scorchers, Melbourne Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Melbourne Stars | 1c | 3,844$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Perth Scorchers | 69c | 3,050$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Melbourne Stars | 39c | 2,176$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.58 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Melbourne Stars | 14c | 2,039$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Perth Scorchers | 70c | 1,941$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.15 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Melbourne Stars | 25c | 1,359$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Melbourne Stars | 18c | 1,183$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 1,164$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Melbourne Stars | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…3ecfbacked Melbourne Stars | 27c | 1,098$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…d7c1backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 1,085$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…fdb5backed Melbourne Stars | 39c | 1,010$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.1 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 1,001$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Melbourne Stars | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Melbourne Stars | 12c | 569.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Melbourne Stars | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Melbourne Stars | 14c | 468.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Melbourne Stars | 38c | 421.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Melbourne Stars | 29c | 392.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Melbourne Stars | 40c | 372.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 361.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Melbourne Stars | 29c | 346.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Melbourne Stars | 5c | 309.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Melbourne Stars | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Perth Scorchers | 59c | 285$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 278.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Perth Scorchers | 70c | 265.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Melbourne Stars | 10c | 221.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Perth Scorchers | 55c | 199$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Perth Scorchers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Melbourne Stars | 11c | 153.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Melbourne Stars | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Perth Scorchers | 79c | 145.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Perth Scorchers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 89.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1634backed Melbourne Stars | 32c | 85.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 83.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed Melbourne Stars | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…f5cfbacked Melbourne Stars | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Perth Scorchers | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…b3b0backed Melbourne Stars | 21c | 55.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Perth Scorchers | 70c | 51.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Perth Scorchers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…905abacked Perth Scorchers | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Melbourne Stars | 41c | 47.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Melbourne Stars | 40c | 46.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Melbourne Stars | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Perth Scorchers | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Melbourne Stars | 40c | 39.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Perth Scorchers | 75c | 39.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Melbourne Stars | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Perth Scorchers | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Melbourne Stars | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Melbourne Stars | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…20e2backed Perth Scorchers | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Perth Scorchers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…a0b8backed Perth Scorchers | 72c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Perth Scorchers | 71c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.