Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2c4d573542a0e7a955fe7cea5db8adb884119c3ca6b0c64d835f0bf748ddff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 537,519$259,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277,524.36 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 204,945$106,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,571.48 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 95,552$47,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,776 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 47,500$24,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,675 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41,700$20,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,684 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 14,705$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 8,992$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.75 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 5,896$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 5,275$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,853$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 1,492$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 1,373$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 508.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 253.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 222.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 214$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baylor Bears | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 196.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 118$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 111.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Baylor Bears | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 90.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 90.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 89.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 78.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 64.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 58.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 56.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 48.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 46.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 45.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 43.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 36.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor BearsTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.