Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9170977357ea8f6d43671b2067d23d875ae6d2f4940b2380681142f18cd588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 25,159$11,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,466.72 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 13,193$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 3,600$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 53c | 2,614$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.58 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.95 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 298.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 269$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 47c | 211.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 208.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 116.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 53c | 91.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 51c | 63.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 58.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor BearsTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.