WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65822eec28b5d8b7fb613fdb4d000304dd77cbe7fd54e8ba2166f77c548cf67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Valkyries | 24c | 10,921$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.77 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 74c | 10,589$7,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.35 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Valkyries | 25c | 10,437$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Valkyries | 25c | 10,039$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Fever | 76c | 9,883$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Fever | 75c | 9,490$7,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,117.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fever | 74c | 3,985$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.49 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 25c | 3,568$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.42 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Fever | 73c | 3,494$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.55 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 76c | 3,408$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.57 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Fever | 19c | 2,674$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Fever | 75c | 2,067$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 27c | 1,998$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.11 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Valkyries | 24c | 1,900$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 37c | 1,366$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.66 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Fever | 78c | 1,171$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 22c | 860$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 28c | 805.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.45 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Valkyries | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Fever | 44c | 528$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 28c | 500$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 26c | 475.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 25c | 402.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.17 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Fever | 74c | 333.34$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Fever | 78c | 320$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Fever | 75c | 311.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Fever | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Valkyries | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Valkyries | 65c | 284.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Fever | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 24c | 168.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Fever | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 75c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fever | 41c | 107.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Valkyries | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Valkyries | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 25c | 86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Fever | 75c | 81.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Fever | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 74c | 66.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Fever | 74c | 29.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fever | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ad74backed Fever | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fever | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Fever | 77c | 16.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.