TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks79c8,509$6,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.9519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs43c3,710$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.36437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs67c3,220$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Knicks33c2,950$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks37c2,672$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.151,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs47c2,250$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.2153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks16c2,040$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Spurs3c1,950$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks31c1,765$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.8764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs62c1,217$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.971,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce84…7a46backed Knicks32c1,027$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31045544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks21c977.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.2793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Knicks27c756.11$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.962544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs42c715$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs36c693.38$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs3c675$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks68c664.7$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.071,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks32c610.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.0625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs78c600$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4673164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs70c554$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.85358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Spurs3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Knicks30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Spurs30c481.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs39c431$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.259853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Spurs31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241866.7%12 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+143.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks72c337$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Knicks46c287.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Spurs60c278$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.84047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+112.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Knicks43c250.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Spurs27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.535531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs15c228$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5216640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Knicks37c225$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.751643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs68c200.15$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks47c184.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.81,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Spurs56c177.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks22c169.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.518140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Spurs36c163.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.081225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Knicks66c152.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.129950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Knicks32c152$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.364431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs24c135.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs68c134.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks41c134.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.681,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks32c130.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks45c126.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs68c123.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.051,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Knicks32c106.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.17580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs52c105$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Knicks33c91.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks35c85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Spurs70c84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs43c83.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spurs66c82.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.314151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1385…daf2backed Knicks31c76.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks18c73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2325944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks31c68.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Knicks32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks48c60.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Knicks43c56.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.084163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks48c51.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.918846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Spurs70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs51c44.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs68c44.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Spurs70c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.136153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Knicks46c42.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.935058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs29c35.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Spurs75c33.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…eb7fbacked Knicks32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs76c29.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs62c25.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1610757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Spurs69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Spurs67c22.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Spurs73c20.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.037062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Spurs79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.