NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d69da2c2b1a5e3049e801daf3e2d2b3cc96a0b44c993aa0b8c3b258d109b06b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 49c | 3,428$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.17 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.99 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 49c | 2,098$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.72 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 12c | 1,700$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,393$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 44c | 912.51$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes | 51c | 625.88$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 48c | 570.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked No | 49c | 552.4$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…abe7backed Yes | 50c | 506.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafc…09ffbacked Yes | 53c | 475.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes | 52c | 369.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…63f0backed No | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed No | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…5088backed Yes | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Yes | 51c | 192.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 57c | 174.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…99c5backed No | 49c | 165.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 6c | 164.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 49c | 100.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20be…6508backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…6af6backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Yes | 51c | 77.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 49c | 68.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5a…e709backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 50c | 60.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…d26bbacked No | 51c | 58.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…344cbacked Yes | 49c | 51.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed No | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…1dd8backed No | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 53c | 47.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…7756backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…083abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked No | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Yes | 50c | 38.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Yes | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…5397backed Yes | 47c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…3676backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…5899backed Yes | 58c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.