TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs57c14,859$8,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,409.5164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks39c12,209$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,501.7455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs15c10,176$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Spurs62c9,285$5,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,734.343158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf70b…5166backed Spurs61c8,090$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.73850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs13c7,518$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.32615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks39c4,366$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64610944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c4,242$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.7728056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks39c3,652$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.9552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs60c3,436$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.8425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks39c2,356$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Spurs62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2407143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs10c1,869$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Knicks40c1,524$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.6610447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs10c1,300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks38c923.49$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks39c848.63$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.731,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs27c804.69$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks39c760.82$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs60c714.25$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.5513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs15c646.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ddf0backed Spurs62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001225%3 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs33c633.16$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.361,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs62c620.1$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks67c584$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs23c565.22$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.812920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs12c534.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.154032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Knicks44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Spurs60c494.65$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7915649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks64c413.62$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.751,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks38c400$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks40c400$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24218653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf36…2919backed Knicks38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b3…6201backed Spurs60c355.16$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks40c279.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs13c277$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks36c259$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.763,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Spurs59c253.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs32c252.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Knicks40c216$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.610545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs17c208.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks38c207.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks38c201.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Spurs62c195.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs45c181.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f8…e7f5backed Knicks57c174.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Knicks56c169.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs61c164.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Spurs61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks70c161.03$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs16c161$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0525944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Spurs14c155.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs43c149.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa065…00d4backed Spurs60c138.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs13c133$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2933030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeece…b407backed Knicks41c131.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8e15backed Spurs60c127.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Spurs15c127.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e6…298dbacked Knicks41c125.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fee…29acbacked Knicks40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs13c122$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x322d…37febacked Knicks41c116.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.891172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ae…6f0ebacked Spurs60c115.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs16c115.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs59c111.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Spurs15c110.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Knicks38c110$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked Spurs22c108.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spurs59c107.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2839552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed Knicks41c103.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.121040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks55c102.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5612150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks39c101.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9110548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b9…e2debacked Knicks40c100.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+67.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4f…042bbacked Spurs61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48b…1334backed Spurs40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017031.8%54 W · 116 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks59c96.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.537152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3b…08d3backed Spurs60c95.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Spurs61c91.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565058%29 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks58c89.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Knicks43c86.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Spurs61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bd2…299cbacked Spurs62c80.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f53…06b3backed Spurs62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03cc…6193backed Spurs64c76.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24bb…dbaabacked Spurs60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Spurs61c67.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Knicks39c67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8734850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…7444backed Spurs61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.