Golf · resolved market
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2d00bc3de9522cd76115621c6899862b347aead112a818e060d00073d9e619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,711 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed No | 48c | 12,498$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 64c | 11,500$7,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,377.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 52c | 9,333$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.66 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 22c | 8,645$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,715.32 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 79c | 4,306$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 39c | 3,690$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.56 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 2,679$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.22 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 43c | 2,396$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,297$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked No | 58c | 1,733$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed No | 51c | 1,694$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 13c | 1,453$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…5921backed No | 41c | 1,334$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.62 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 46c | 1,315$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.65 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,315$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 50c | 1,270$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.86 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…52f6backed Yes | 52c | 957.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 61c | 929.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.9 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…3210backed Yes | 50c | 922.61$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 54c | 749.5$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.37 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 49c | 720$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 59c | 589.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked No | 51c | 585.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 43c | 517.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 22c | 512$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 41c | 486.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Yes | 46c | 410.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked Yes | 67c | 394.94$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 45c | 352.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 33c | 330.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 68c | 310.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 305.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…625abacked Yes | 63c | 288.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 45c | 275.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed No | 64c | 247.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 6c | 232.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 47c | 216.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 19c | 214.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…ad0bbacked Yes | 39c | 203.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…8fc8backed No | 63c | 196$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…5ea7backed Yes | 28c | 179.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Yes | 23c | 171.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 33c | 170.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 44c | 164.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 28c | 164.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…c354backed Yes | 32c | 161.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…0b43backed No | 64c | 155.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed No | 72c | 150.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…c35ebacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 114.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ee…cbe9backed Yes | 45c | 103.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Yes | 47c | 89.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 47c | 80.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…2767backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 54c | 63.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 54c | 62.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 48c | 61.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 49c | 60.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…c1eebacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 54.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes | 25c | 51.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…be96backed No | 48c | 51.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…d1f2backed Yes | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…8043backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…0681backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…6112backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 33c | 43.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Yes | 39c | 43.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Yes | 44c | 40.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed No | 52c | 39.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 49c | 37.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…8865backed No | 48c | 36.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…88f9backed Yes | 52c | 36.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…b768backed No | 55c | 36.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…7ddabacked No | 48c | 34.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf476…0af3backed Yes | 52c | 34.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…1ddcbacked Yes | 52c | 33.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…8349backed Yes | 74c | 33.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…706dbacked No | 59c | 32.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…ba47backed No | 48c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…dad9backed Yes | 52c | 32.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…b1dcbacked Yes | 40c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…2468backed No | 48c | 29.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…82d4backed No | 48c | 28.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…73ebbacked Yes | 52c | 28.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…9d31backed No | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f0e5backed Yes | 48c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e3c2backed Yes | 52c | 27.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8122…7febbacked Yes | 52c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…c3bdbacked No | 48c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?this page
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?Yes won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Jhonattan Vegas win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.