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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed Spurs64c7,868$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs63c3,721$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.1125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks36c3,666$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks42c2,311$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.2162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks34c1,450$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks37c1,221$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.4911145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs64c1,197$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Spurs62c1,069$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.8214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks37c984.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.451,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks37c971$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.731,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs64c879$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks28c841.56$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks38c729.93$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs73c616.84$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks38c611.92$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.451,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Knicks38c569.7$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.714727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs59c567.21$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Knicks37c532.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3512540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks37c406.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs72c403$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks35c398.16$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…591abacked Knicks38c378.21$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.491566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs62c361.29$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks27c324.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks37c315.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks38c269.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2611447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs61c220.68$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs52c215.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Spurs52c206.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Spurs30c194$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks27c169.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs79c169.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.086038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks37c166.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Knicks38c129.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.166749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks40c123.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs69c121$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs64c120.66$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.981,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks36c119.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs77c85.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Spurs69c82.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0810548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Knicks38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs71c73.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs70c70.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Knicks37c60.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1841038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Knicks33c59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0516640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Spurs51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs63c54.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2715759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Spurs67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs48c49.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks36c39.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a3…1cc1backed Knicks44c34.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs52c33.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs75c31.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9610152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8833030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Spurs54c30.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.545058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Spurs75c27.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cb…4a87backed Spurs74c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs73c25.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.579956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs77c23.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.172532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs80c23.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Spurs74c20.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eae…1326backed Spurs50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs74c19.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs62c18.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Spurs74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.