TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs67c22,295$14,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,937.6311447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks33c12,497$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,363.1125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ef…92abbacked Knicks33c10,564$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+202.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Spurs1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks34c3,275$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.4564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks38c3,259$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.6490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks64c3,046$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.051,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs75c2,988$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.71,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs63c2,133$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Spurs59c1,576$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.9879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks50c1,452$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Knicks34c1,358$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.414148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Spurs67c1,306$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks43c1,240$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks57c1,213$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.7528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks33c1,195$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.6818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Knicks32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6806619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks34c937.5$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs49c820$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.399956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs65c692.7$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs51c690.53$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Spurs34c688.08$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Spurs46c597.83$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks53c522.72$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.661,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs65c498.62$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.991,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs70c456.7$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.91,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs22c419.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Spurs72c415.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs25c406$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7723441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs32c399.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Spurs21c390$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks42c345.37$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks17c324.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs63c307.01$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks51c303.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.791,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks25c300$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6945544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks45c296.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9725340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs66c295.49$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2330448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Knicks74c269.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.589950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks25c246.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs67c230$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.11,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1278355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks40c186.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs25c185.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3116429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks18c165.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks28c147.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Knicks33c145.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.456344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs35c142.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Spurs25c142.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Knicks35c142$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs64c138.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ed…041bbacked Spurs71c98.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks24c98.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.117237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Knicks35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs16c73.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Spurs67c60.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…ef83backed Knicks36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs69c52.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9260…7a42backed Spurs68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs65c43.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3710548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks52c40.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Spurs70c39.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs43c38.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4417946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks60c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.369853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs69c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks39c32.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.944151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks44c31.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks71c31.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0316640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Knicks54c27.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.952766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Spurs77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks66c19.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.478846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Spurs71c19.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1718…b4bfbacked Spurs68c14.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x345a…9dc9backed Spurs68c14.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a03…d2d1backed Spurs68c14.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…95eabacked Spurs68c14.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.