TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Spurs67c8,060$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks33c6,330$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.8439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks33c3,749$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs22c2,630$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs23c2,516$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.5742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs29c2,225$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Spurs66c2,180$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5127158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks63c2,061$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Spurs51c1,905$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks67c1,882$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.8830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs42c1,864$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked Spurs66c1,488$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.241526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs59c1,468$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs24c1,090$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks34c1,024$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs40c997.28$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.22,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks34c997.28$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.218355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks33c958.06$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Spurs67c867.46$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks61c823.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks60c816.66$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks52c761.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks34c749.12$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.421,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks63c626.72$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks61c533$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.444344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs26c524.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs53c507.38$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks72c472.5$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.659956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks62c418.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs47c409.06$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks40c396.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs25c316.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19516750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs52c298.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.981,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks35c295$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks61c294$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.837152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed Knicks35c282.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks69c252.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs25c235.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.473920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks64c194.17$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs50c187.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks68c171$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.261,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks48c144.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…0fa6backed Knicks35c143.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbc…1545backed Spurs36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs65c135.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8111447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Knicks69c116.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.533658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks65c99.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x544f…3ca1backed Spurs67c99.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Spurs66c96.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.492347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks44c95.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks72c94.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1312055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks76c90.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.711,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Knicks64c85.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.524961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs27c82.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks65c79.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Knicks71c79.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Knicks61c78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.191573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks64c74.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks65c73.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4510152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs37c72.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2822753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks66c70.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Spurs37c65.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs65c61.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs66c58.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks36c57.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Knicks68c56.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Spurs37c53.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Knicks64c51.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.444360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Knicks64c50.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.154161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Knicks64c50.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.154158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Spurs53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Knicks66c49.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Knicks36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Knicks57c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs65c39.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Knicks34c39.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261593.3%14 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.44per pick50cpaid+92.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Knicks54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Spurs36c35.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.675536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Knicks66c34.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8527553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks35c33.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1205…13e2backed Spurs65c33.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa015…b4ffbacked Knicks65c30.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Knicks61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4788…6bc3backed Knicks63c26.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks60c25.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d69…ab3abacked Knicks78c25.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-53.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Knicks60c24.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.897154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs44c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa477…dd5bbacked Knicks66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Knicks69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Knicks61c19.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Knicks58c19.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.041963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d0…0484backed Knicks77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.