TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Copa Colsanitas: Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Lepchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emiliana Arangoof Emiliana Arango, Varvara Lepchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Lepchenko8c12,131$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.178,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Varvara Lepchenko2c7,188$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Varvara Lepchenko16c7,082$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Varvara Lepchenko7c5,946$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.887,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Varvara Lepchenko21c4,536$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.630241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Varvara Lepchenko14c3,537$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.682,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko7c3,064$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Emiliana Arango67c2,487$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.7221743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Varvara Lepchenko15c2,193$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9814822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Varvara Lepchenko9c2,049$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.262,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Varvara Lepchenko32c1,922$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.519938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Varvara Lepchenko14c1,067$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Varvara Lepchenko4c901.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Emiliana Arango71c900.88$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7617262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Varvara Lepchenko24c850.34$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1514225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Varvara Lepchenko13c728.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.692552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Varvara Lepchenko17c726.62$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5318933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Varvara Lepchenko7c652.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.631136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Varvara Lepchenko6c639.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.238718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Varvara Lepchenko8c612.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Varvara Lepchenko6c596.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.585623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Emiliana Arango74c557.92$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.761,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Varvara Lepchenko36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3242743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Varvara Lepchenko4c530$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Emiliana Arango68c481.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Varvara Lepchenko35c423.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0186835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Varvara Lepchenko34c416.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.641,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Varvara Lepchenko31c398.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.179,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Varvara Lepchenko32c391$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.127,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Varvara Lepchenko25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.527040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Varvara Lepchenko35c380.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.11,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Varvara Lepchenko9c354.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.47154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Varvara Lepchenko30c343.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9621720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Varvara Lepchenko20c310.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.596,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Varvara Lepchenko35c299.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Varvara Lepchenko35c288.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.913740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Emiliana Arango73c256.62$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4523758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Emiliana Arango73c254.4$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.691,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Lepchenko19c189.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Emiliana Arango64c182.15$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3933442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Varvara Lepchenko8c170.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Varvara Lepchenko23c157.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2211838.1%45 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Varvara Lepchenko16c147.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…50adbacked Varvara Lepchenko14c146.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…129dbacked Varvara Lepchenko12c133.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Varvara Lepchenko31c127.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Varvara Lepchenko24c112.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.532934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Varvara Lepchenko11c105.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.145141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Varvara Lepchenko34c95.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.533,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Emiliana Arango65c94.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Emiliana Arango80c80.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.485858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Emiliana Arango68c74.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Varvara Lepchenko34c71.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1653457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Varvara Lepchenko33c69.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8712544%55 W · 70 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Emiliana Arango66c64.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.762763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd368…5813backed Varvara Lepchenko34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Varvara Lepchenko19c57.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.234729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Varvara Lepchenko34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5abf…4f48backed Varvara Lepchenko20c55.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Varvara Lepchenko33c55.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.172,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Emiliana Arango73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Varvara Lepchenko20c52.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4732843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Emiliana Arango66c51.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6652457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Emiliana Arango65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.536349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Varvara Lepchenko34c44.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2312831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Emiliana Arango66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1471165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Emiliana Arango67c40.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3248650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Emiliana Arango66c38.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.995757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Emiliana Arango65c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Emiliana Arango66c29.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba0…980fbacked Emiliana Arango66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.092090%18 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Emiliana Arango64c27.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.931,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Emiliana Arango63c24.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Emiliana Arango68c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Emiliana Arango74c21.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5345051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Emiliana Arango80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Emiliana Arango75c17.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4652739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Emiliana Arango80c16.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.