TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Panathinaikos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Valencia, Panathinaikos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Valencia50c30,515$15,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,135.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Panathinaikos49c17,000$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,33050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Valencia49c7,297$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe48…8c4bbacked Panathinaikos52c6,280$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Panathinaikos49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Panathinaikos49c5,259$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos30c4,477$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.6554251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Valencia51c4,054$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Valencia48c3,752$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panathinaikos49c3,368$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.1412040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Panathinaikos50c3,071$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panathinaikos28c2,983$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.5237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Valencia52c2,854$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos20c2,665$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.678936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab0e…4393backed Valencia76c2,604$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos21c2,491$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.7836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panathinaikos38c2,336$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.116744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Panathinaikos51c2,336$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.662055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panathinaikos27c2,255$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5813235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7122…6bcabacked Panathinaikos54c2,083$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Panathinaikos49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Panathinaikos49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Panathinaikos54c1,402$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.339756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Valencia52c1,193$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.072045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Valencia51c1,173$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Valencia52c1,073$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos35c885.64$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Panathinaikos25c728.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.476237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Panathinaikos45c629.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.812157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Valencia51c623.47$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Panathinaikos23c609.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e97…0bd0backed Panathinaikos36c550.25$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Valencia47c499.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.935040%20 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia46c494.15$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1313147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Panathinaikos49c474.81$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.663345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Panathinaikos53c458.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.957138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Panathinaikos25c404.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1428943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Valencia50c388.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.153148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Valencia50c388.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.151650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Valencia79c369.55$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2926544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Panathinaikos26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.561428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos27c345.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Valencia79c332.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.933775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Panathinaikos54c310.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.675545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Valencia50c300.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Panathinaikos49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Valencia47c287.05$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.824042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Panathinaikos27c281.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.433145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Panathinaikos29c267.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.691421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valencia51c261.09$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.937741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Valencia51c258.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.836142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Valencia51c258.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.832045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Valencia51c258.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Valencia51c258.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.835541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Valencia51c258.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Panathinaikos50c247.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.371250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Panathinaikos49c245.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Panathinaikos30c239.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.853040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Panathinaikos54c235.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…d040backed Panathinaikos53c234.74$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Valencia42c206.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Panathinaikos36c204.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1110736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f4…966fbacked Panathinaikos5c201.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3295…f7cfbacked Panathinaikos58c201.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Panathinaikos31c201.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Valencia47c200.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Valencia61c199.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Valencia49c198.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.773250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50eb…6421backed Valencia51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Valencia50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Valencia50c192.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Valencia50c192.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Valencia51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.254434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Valencia51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Valencia51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Valencia51c190.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Valencia51c188.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4c…0c74backed Valencia49c184.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Valencia52c183.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+102.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2410663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Panathinaikos28c171.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Panathinaikos29c167.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia75c161.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1235234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.728247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Panathinaikos26c147.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.223636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Valencia50c147.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3b…e3eabacked Panathinaikos21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Panathinaikos29c132.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.310926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Panathinaikos49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Valencia50c115.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Valencia51c113.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.647100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Panathinaikos15c112.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Valencia46c108.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Valencia51c104.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Panathinaikos24c100.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed Panathinaikos50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Panathinaikos36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Valencia46c99.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.976949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Panathinaikos25c99.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.