NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1262ba1257201f1a7eb974893d51540250a2b7e1cabdf76e637395be8051cd35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 61,046$30,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,523.12 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 54c | 4,004$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.56 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 422.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.15 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 46c | 420.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 379$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 299.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Over | 49c | 243.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 32c | 213.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 48c | 173.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 127.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 137 | 58.4%80 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…f853backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 44c | 90.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 89.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 54c | 85.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 74.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 61c | 67.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…dddebacked Under | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 54c | 32.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 51c | 31.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 29.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. CanucksUtah won
- Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Utah vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.