TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Utah (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,086 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x116c…e162backed Utah46c1,385$637 inWon+$748.1111058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks54c825.71$446 inLost-$445.8851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canucks54c400$216 inLost-$21676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canucks55c284.76$158 inLost-$157.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Canucks54c277$150 inLost-$149.5833941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Utah46c269.6$125 inWon+$144.791,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks56c163.29$91 inLost-$91.442,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Utah44c109.82$48 inWon+$61.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Utah45c107.44$48 inWon+$59.0910657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks48c99.57$47 inLost-$47.31,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Utah63c96.38$61 inWon+$35.7630549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Canucks52c93.93$49 inLost-$48.554546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah61c93.16$57 inWon+$36.463,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Canucks54c63.03$34 inLost-$34.031723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Utah51c59.55$30 inWon+$29.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Canucks54c50$27 inLost-$2716746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Utah46c43.58$20 inWon+$23.5321036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Canucks54c43.22$23 inLost-$23.344141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Utah45c42.98$19 inWon+$23.649054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah42c37.09$16 inWon+$21.511,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Canucks47c29.48$14 inLost-$13.8632353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Utah53c27.34$14 inWon+$12.9411551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah53c26.87$14 inWon+$12.631,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Canucks58c24.96$14 inLost-$14.481030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah53c19.44$10 inWon+$9.1382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.