Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fab8f7e5d6b002994f2a2e44edd2e550b056422062dc4a8db657ee042ca1810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 4,811$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 2,950$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.57 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 2,856$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 1,787$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,397$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.53 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,069$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 1,044$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 752.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 684.12$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 70c | 625.45$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid | 56c | 611.6$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Karmine Corp | 21c | 568.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 451.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 446$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 407.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Team Liquid | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 299.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Liquid | 80c | 269.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 247.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 230.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 214.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Team Liquid | 76c | 188.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…e999backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 148.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 143.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa993…1c15backed Team Liquid | 80c | 137.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 131.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 69c | 124.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 109.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Liquid | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 87.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 76.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed Team Liquid | 70c | 67.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 58.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed Team Liquid | 69c | 57.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Team Liquid | 70c | 53.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 52.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 51.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Liquid | 80c | 50.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Team Liquid | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…c1f3backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 41.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…fe86backed Team Liquid | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 37.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Liquid | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed Team Liquid | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…7e83backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…2c45backed Team Liquid | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…8e55backed Team Liquid | 57c | 27.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…3937backed Team Liquid | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Team Liquid | 70c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.