Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb26bc279f9d95991283c5cd1993e09b9184d4ca56c500929e67483fd4fdea47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Liquid, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 0c | 3,718$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,005$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 821$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.52 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 52c | 658.94$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 609.19$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 55c | 585.23$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.73 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 510.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Team Liquid | 15c | 510.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 53c | 391.08$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 16c | 187.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Liquid | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Team Liquid | 33c | 169.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 152.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 147.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 133.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 98.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Team Liquid | 20c | 74.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 60.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…fe86backed Team Liquid | 61c | 48.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…fbd4backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Team Liquid | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.