CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217a15e385951932fe5a1dba1be5af3207f18418d1b434062131c8ffee54f18a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Virtus.pro, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 43c | 4,454$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.93 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,773$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.14 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,105$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Nemiga | 41c | 1,520$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,334$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,094$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.99 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 975$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…7dcabacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 407.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Nemiga | 41c | 351.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 309.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nemiga | 35c | 246.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Nemiga | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Nemiga | 38c | 176.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Nemiga | 51c | 144.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Nemiga | 44c | 134.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…e999backed Nemiga | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nemiga | 56c | 92.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…278ebacked Nemiga | 44c | 90.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 82.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Nemiga | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 70c | 61.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed Nemiga | 42c | 57.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Nemiga | 45c | 55.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 39.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c1…275ebacked Nemiga | 42c | 39.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Nemiga | 67c | 38.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Nemiga | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 34.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…7e83backed Nemiga | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Nemiga | 46c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed Nemiga | 46c | 25.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.