CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979c4b718f5601fe6d86a5f3e9eb45339a4f0af43a5eabaa0d2a8883a3244e7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 66c | 7,348$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Under | 65c | 2,833$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.79 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Over | 20c | 2,300$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Over | 49c | 2,289$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Over | 33c | 2,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Over | 40c | 1,930$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Under | 77c | 1,803$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 47c | 600$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Over | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…da5dbacked Over | 21c | 470.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Over | 36c | 277.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Over | 49c | 101.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Over | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 47.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…89d6backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.