Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d5d8e442ce639f44085ec38cb1403d33712fb1bd34f9b952220b17892b2f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Humbert, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bergs | 52c | 5,100$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.45 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Humbert | 48c | 4,210$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.67 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Humbert | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.24 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Humbert | 48c | 1,596$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.58 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Bergs | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Humbert | 48c | 937.3$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.03 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Humbert | 2c | 864.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Humbert | 49c | 833.32$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Bergs | 52c | 764.56$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Humbert | 48c | 677.26$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bergs | 51c | 569.93$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Humbert | 23c | 521.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 176 | 54%95 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bergs | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 52c | 490.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Bergs | 51c | 479.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Humbert | 50c | 402.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Bergs | 57c | 382.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bergs | 49c | 344.47$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Humbert | 43c | 326.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Humbert | 54c | 295.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Bergs | 51c | 284.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Humbert | 51c | 258.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bergs | 52c | 236.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Humbert | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bergs | 52c | 201.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Humbert | 60c | 190.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bergs | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Humbert | 51c | 148.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bergs | 52c | 135.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Bergs | 39c | 121.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Bergs | 51c | 117.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Humbert | 55c | 107.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Bergs | 52c | 100.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Humbert | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bergs | 31c | 98.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Bergs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bergs | 43c | 93.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Bergs | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Humbert | 67c | 91.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Bergs | 44c | 90.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Bergs | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bergs | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Bergs | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Humbert | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bergs | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Bergs | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Bergs | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Bergs | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…090abacked Humbert | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bergs | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Bergs | 50c | 41.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Bergs | 53c | 40.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bergs | 52c | 40.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Bergs | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…a183backed Humbert | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Humbert | 67c | 30.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Bergs | 49c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Bergs | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Bergs | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Bergs | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Humbert | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Humbert | 57c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)this page
- Bergs vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo HumbertZizou Bergs won
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs HumbertHumbert won
- Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs HumbertBergs won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.