Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5c6246661413c23013c310c1f58482e77401712e7198b8e6405b21d93ec205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Bergs, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bergs | 31c | 10,955$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.79 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Humbert | 72c | 7,182$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.59 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Humbert | 67c | 4,142$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.53 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bergs | 33c | 2,625$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.12 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bergs | 29c | 2,389$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 586 | 48.5%284 W · 302 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Bergs | 25c | 2,189$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.22 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Humbert | 67c | 1,830$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.41 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Humbert | 66c | 1,450$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bergs | 33c | 1,250$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.23 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Humbert | 73c | 1,053$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.3 | 2,442 | 50.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L | +83.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Humbert | 69c | 515$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Humbert | 67c | 460.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bergs | 32c | 448.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bergs | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,384 | 16.5%228 W · 1,156 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Humbert | 67c | 298.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Humbert | 66c | 234$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Humbert | 72c | 233.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Bergs | 32c | 218$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Humbert | 74c | 215.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Humbert | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Bergs | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Humbert | 56c | 198.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Humbert | 69c | 187.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Humbert | 67c | 184.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bergs | 28c | 181.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…4cdfbacked Bergs | 34c | 168.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Bergs | 31c | 156.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Humbert | 75c | 156.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…10a0backed Humbert | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bergs | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Humbert | 72c | 122.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Humbert | 72c | 117.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bergs | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Humbert | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Humbert | 66c | 86.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 748 | 38.8%290 W · 458 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Bergs | 32c | 85.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Humbert | 67c | 68.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Bergs | 31c | 63.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 462 | 52.8%244 W · 218 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Humbert | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Humbert | 68c | 48.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Humbert | 75c | 48.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Humbert | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Humbert | 65c | 46.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bergs | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Humbert | 69c | 36.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…6993backed Humbert | 69c | 36.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Humbert | 67c | 35.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 271 | 49.1%133 W · 138 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…f733backed Humbert | 68c | 35.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Bergs | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Bergs | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Bergs | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 348 | 60.3%210 W · 138 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Humbert | 69c | 30.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Humbert | 73c | 28.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Humbert | 68c | 27.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Humbert | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Humbert | 67c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Humbert | 69c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Humbert | 70c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…826ebacked Humbert | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Humbert | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Humbert | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Humbert | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Humbert | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Humbertthis page
- Bergs vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo HumbertZizou Bergs won
- Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs HumbertBergs won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Bergs won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.