Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b78093e15b312c483718187b118e0edc47998a6f2bd9ef1be3efe17c981d225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Bergs, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Humbert | 52c | 7,297$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.5 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bergs | 53c | 3,669$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.57 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bergs | 55c | 1,584$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…10a0backed Humbert | 21c | 1,396$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bergs | 49c | 1,225$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Bergs | 35c | 840.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.64 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bergs | 53c | 487.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bergs | 77c | 434.39$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bergs | 79c | 281.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Humbert | 45c | 221.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bergs | 44c | 213$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bergs | 40c | 107.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Bergs | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Humbert | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Humbert | 62c | 76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bergs | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Humbert | 26c | 45.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Bergs | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bergs | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Bergs | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs Humbertthis page
- Bergs vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo HumbertZizou Bergs won
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs HumbertHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Bergs won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.