Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Jay Clarke vs Stijn Paardekooper
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd214a5a9facdd0346f485e1ad71406faeca57ccd181529203873e64147e8df80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stijn Paardekooperof Jay Clarke, Stijn Paardekooper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Stijn Paardekooper | 33c | 3,637$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.84 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jay Clarke | 69c | 3,403$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.48 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke | 41c | 1,006$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Stijn Paardekooper | 61c | 802$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.94 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Stijn Paardekooper | 18c | 556.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.11 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 39c | 314.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jay Clarke | 61c | 307.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jay Clarke | 50c | 270.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Stijn Paardekooper | 75c | 223.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jay Clarke | 38c | 214.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 22c | 190.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jay Clarke | 52c | 183.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Jay Clarke | 66c | 128.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Stijn Paardekooper | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jay Clarke | 69c | 98.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jay Clarke | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jay Clarke | 77c | 88.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 83.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 59.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Jay Clarke | 44c | 58.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Jay Clarke | 60c | 52.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Jay Clarke | 35c | 50.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Stijn Paardekooper | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Stijn Paardekooper | 40c | 46.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Stijn Paardekooper | 39c | 44.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Stijn Paardekooper | 31c | 40.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jay Clarke | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jay Clarke | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jay Clarke | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jay Clarke | 68c | 36.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jay Clarke | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Jay Clarke | 78c | 33.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Stijn Paardekooper | 37c | 27.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Stijn Paardekooper | 39c | 26.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Jay Clarke | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jay Clarke | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jay Clarke | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jay Clarke | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jay Clarke | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Jay Clarke | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Jay Clarke | 61c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.