Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ddb237850a033a76bb55447ed1e2682b9458f8dadfb0256f9e5f3c46f955877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 1c | 2,980$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 56c | 1,305$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 507.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 429.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 341.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 72c | 292.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed Yes | 36c | 263.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 43c | 214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 35c | 202$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 36c | 191.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked No | 59c | 180.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 57c | 177.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 64c | 170.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 170.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 40c | 137.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 77c | 135.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 44c | 131$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 44c | 130.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 59c | 130$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 52c | 128.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 124.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 121.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 116.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…13b0backed Yes | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 53c | 95.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 13c | 92.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 90.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…8f04backed Yes | 44c | 89.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…6710backed Yes | 48c | 88.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…106bbacked No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 41c | 86.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked Yes | 49c | 86.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 12c | 86.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed No | 52c | 82.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 77.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 42c | 77.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 42c | 73.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 56c | 71.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 71.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 52c | 67.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 66.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 47c | 66.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed No | 57c | 65.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 61c | 59.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 58.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 58.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 44c | 51.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 44c | 49.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 54c | 47.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed No | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…dc55backed Yes | 45c | 44.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 42.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 47c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 50c | 41.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 49c | 37.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 49c | 36.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 56c | 35.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 64c | 34.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 62c | 34.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 69c | 33.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 64c | 32.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 45c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 29.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…bd37backed Yes | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…4ccabacked No | 49c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 43c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed Yes | 46c | 25.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 56c | 24.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 22.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.