Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ebee8a8294d58b55b2f644ec552dde611155ed7a82337e70cbc40a14bf8ff4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,253$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.32 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 43c | 1,001$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 54c | 746.48$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.64 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 45c | 681$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.39 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 541.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 44c | 470.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 307.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 54c | 252.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 48c | 241$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 221.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 220.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 48c | 176.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 174.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 58c | 168.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 57c | 151.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 141.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 49c | 139.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 133.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…e29bbacked Yes | 42c | 121.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 113.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…f288backed Yes | 44c | 112.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 47c | 110.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 109.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 57c | 100.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 92.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…b24abacked Yes | 45c | 88.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…d09cbacked Yes | 45c | 81.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 80.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…1052backed Yes | 45c | 80.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 60c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 53c | 73.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 49c | 69.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 40c | 69.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed No | 60c | 66.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 61c | 61.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 55c | 60.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 44c | 60.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 42c | 59.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 41c | 48.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 59c | 48.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 41c | 45.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 55c | 44.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…88e7backed No | 59c | 42.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 45c | 41.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 45c | 40.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 40c | 38.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 58c | 38.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 37.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…dacbbacked Yes | 42c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 44c | 33.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked No | 55c | 32.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 45c | 30.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 28.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 59c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 213 | 70.9%151 W · 62 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…dde3backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 57c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…5393backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 21.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 58c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked No | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…a8b9backed No | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…006dbacked No | 61c | 18.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.