Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Astrid Cirotte vs Roxy Bredenkamp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc3c2a5fe9bec4cce6d0ca650b035ef501da59f5f7534ae1b2ca1818d2fa11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrid Cirotteof Astrid Cirotte, Roxy Bredenkamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Astrid Cirotte | 37c | 14,096$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 74c | 10,369$7,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,672.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 62c | 2,748$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Astrid Cirotte | 23c | 1,006$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.76 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 18c | 975$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Astrid Cirotte | 22c | 876.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.06 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 23c | 799.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 33c | 433.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Astrid Cirotte | 50c | 402.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 60c | 378.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Astrid Cirotte | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Astrid Cirotte | 26c | 235.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astrid Cirotte | 20c | 176.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 61c | 170.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 74c | 135.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Astrid Cirotte | 64c | 120.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 23c | 102.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 74c | 87.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 85.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 73.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Astrid Cirotte | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Astrid Cirotte | 50c | 66.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Astrid Cirotte | 27c | 51.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Astrid Cirotte | 44c | 40.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Astrid Cirotte | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 37c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 41c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Roxy Bredenkamp | 60c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…b401backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Roxy Bredenkamp | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.