F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6ec576d0e9f5f839f095388b4cbdca98032b062f104e6ffbc2ebc8d1bdb7b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 63c | 5,352$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.36 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 52c | 3,045$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.17 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 48c | 2,359$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.03 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed No | 38c | 1,172$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 75c | 1,166$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 1,152$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.42 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 74c | 943.18$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 6c | 864.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 42c | 752$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.21 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked Yes | 63c | 636.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed No | 44c | 555.3$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 63c | 499.86$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 7c | 491.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 62c | 468.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…aa88backed Yes | 28c | 464.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 20c | 418.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked No | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 53c | 374.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 36c | 344.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 62c | 319.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 20c | 275.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 21c | 258.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 40c | 256$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 60c | 242.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…30edbacked No | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked No | 43c | 227.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 16c | 227.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 13c | 201$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 58c | 164.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 57c | 143.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c209backed Yes | 20c | 140.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 55c | 138.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 50c | 128.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 90.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 55c | 82.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…f958backed No | 55c | 81.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…cfbdbacked Yes | 76c | 79.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 17c | 74.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked No | 39c | 73.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 42c | 70.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…0332backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 74c | 62.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Yes | 23c | 60.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…62fbbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 32c | 59.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…d532backed No | 56c | 56.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed No | 41c | 50.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 58c | 45.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 58c | 43.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed No | 42c | 42.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes | 61c | 34.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 40c | 34.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Yes | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 56c | 26.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e61…1678backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46da…f9b2backed Yes | 61c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.