Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kamen: Anastasiia Firman vs Eva Marie Voracek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7045b89f4de44293e641409bcb4b0da5bff827d68fc7b6884a7e8db9b18e059b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Marie Voracekof Anastasiia Firman, Eva Marie Voracek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 57c | 5,654$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anastasiia Firman | 9c | 2,972$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 1,501$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 51c | 1,141$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.66 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 67c | 744.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.06 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Anastasiia Firman | 37c | 729.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anastasiia Firman | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Anastasiia Firman | 54c | 588.37$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.03 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Anastasiia Firman | 19c | 427.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasiia Firman | 33c | 398.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…2cd9backed Eva Marie Voracek | 54c | 356.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 45c | 316.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Eva Marie Voracek | 54c | 295.39$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Marie Voracek | 64c | 280.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Anastasiia Firman | 54c | 262$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Eva Marie Voracek | 66c | 261.47$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Anastasiia Firman | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Anastasiia Firman | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Eva Marie Voracek | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Eva Marie Voracek | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anastasiia Firman | 33c | 133.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anastasiia Firman | 39c | 129.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Eva Marie Voracek | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Eva Marie Voracek | 69c | 84.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Anastasiia Firman | 57c | 81.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Eva Marie Voracek | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 79c | 71.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Eva Marie Voracek | 61c | 65.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 66c | 64.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 57.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Anastasiia Firman | 26c | 56.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Eva Marie Voracek | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 51.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 49.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anastasiia Firman | 46c | 49.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456f…cd98backed Eva Marie Voracek | 78c | 47.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 75c | 46.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eva Marie Voracek | 46c | 44.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Eva Marie Voracek | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Anastasiia Firman | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Anastasiia Firman | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Anastasiia Firman | 30c | 37.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 76c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anastasiia Firman | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Eva Marie Voracek | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Anastasiia Firman | 56c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eva Marie Voracek | 61c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Anastasiia Firman | 60c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Anastasiia Firman | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Eva Marie Voracek | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasiia Firman | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…913fbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kamen: Anastasiia Firman vs Eva Marie Voracekthis page
- Set Handicap: Voracek (-1.5) vs Firman (+1.5)Firman won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.