MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbb7b30d8a4b3635e487bb0427c10a2801e4f1fde473b24881819624f923476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 13,410$6,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 12,389$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 12,151$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,428.15 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 9,764$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.97 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 57c | 8,777$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 8,024$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 6,425$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 45c | 6,366$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.47 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 6,239$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 12c | 6,104$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.11 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 3,517$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 2,259$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,558$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.16 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 1,347$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.87 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,273$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 1,149$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 57c | 793.53$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.31 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 535.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 79c | 499$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 478.39$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 23c | 430.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 403$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 54c | 396$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 13c | 385.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 62c | 370.75$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 10c | 347$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 344$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 57c | 333.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 299.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 16c | 290.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 280.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 42c | 267.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 197.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 23c | 185.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 42c | 168.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 64c | 147.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 54c | 145.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 144.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 122$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 107.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 97.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 54c | 78.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 77.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Over | 66c | 75.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 53c | 71.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 56c | 71.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 20c | 56.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 38.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 55c | 38.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 44c | 25.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 55c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Under | 52c | 23.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 54c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 75c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 79c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.