Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2299ff5409c7dad7f2502d8c0606a25503f3bfea9ca6056e6ad35bc9cba939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristina Liutovaof Kristina Liutova, Sofia Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kristina Liutova | 67c | 3,101$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Johnson | 38c | 2,602$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kristina Liutova | 60c | 728$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sofia Johnson | 4c | 706.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Johnson | 39c | 513.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Johnson | 35c | 500.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kristina Liutova | 60c | 355.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Sofia Johnson | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kristina Liutova | 43c | 261.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sofia Johnson | 22c | 179.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Sofia Johnson | 52c | 153.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sofia Johnson | 23c | 102.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Sofia Johnson | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Kristina Liutova | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sofia Johnson | 45c | 88.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…f092backed Sofia Johnson | 60c | 86.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kristina Liutova | 58c | 81.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sofia Johnson | 39c | 78.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kristina Liutova | 53c | 74.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kristina Liutova | 60c | 69.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Sofia Johnson | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sofia Johnson | 26c | 57.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sofia Johnson | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sofia Johnson | 49c | 56.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Kristina Liutova | 46c | 52.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sofia Johnson | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Sofia Johnson | 30c | 45.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kristina Liutova | 49c | 45.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristina Liutova | 62c | 45.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Sofia Johnson | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sofia Johnson | 48c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Sofia Johnson | 40c | 39.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kristina Liutova | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sofia Johnson | 43c | 29.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Kristina Liutova | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sofia Johnson | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kristina Liutova | 52c | 26.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…470cbacked Kristina Liutova | 60c | 24.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Kristina Liutova | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Sofia Johnson | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Kristina Liutova | 63c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.