Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef39b1495ad93fcf2734a2edc95dfee17d7eeecbb4c1ad8500e8ef1f1d16b817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 2,701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.42 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 9c | 1,849$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…106bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,790$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 72c | 595.81$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 14c | 589.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 30c | 586$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 18c | 259.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 20c | 250.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 246$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 245$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 209.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes | 16c | 193.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 16c | 154.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…9335backed Yes | 17c | 151.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 138.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 28c | 116.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 109.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 14c | 100.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 11c | 97.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 13c | 86.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…dba7backed Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3cb3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.