Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e6c853cd5dea378f1e5d9dba3a4266f7ce90c4eaefe26b16c94ab9deb14136b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 3,543$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.75 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,331$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 19c | 922$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 466.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 412.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 75c | 318.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 19c | 267.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 80c | 253$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 216.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 174.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 125.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 119.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 114.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 109.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 103.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 18c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed Yes | 19c | 66.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 72c | 66.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 20c | 65.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 18c | 57.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.