Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2d3e1c6f8c686c721a885f355c17ae92b47791ac66984b7ab8c7470055d06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 7c | 10,172$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.07 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 3,156$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.55 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,666$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.68 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,433$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 13c | 1,272$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 61c | 851.37$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.71 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 12c | 811.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 16c | 624.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 508$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 12c | 449.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 12c | 370.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 306$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 292.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 11c | 260.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 13c | 172.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 116.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…9255backed Yes | 12c | 94.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.