Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaea20f9c7ec72924436e8b229a5352a56db3d8465d0acf2a4bbf2e2f87a53474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 24c | 2,057$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.27 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 719.29$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.68 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 622.18$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.63 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 23c | 608.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 442.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 23c | 343.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…5c69backed Yes | 77c | 305.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 181.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 77c | 115.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 102.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 20c | 78.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 24c | 73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 66.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…ad60backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…64e1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 54c | 34.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed No | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…ac78backed Yes | 50c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 69c | 23.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.