Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6aa1fdd2cd243dd310e8377cddbbf32d406b4f13595fc4f7279802d2680aa5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 80c | 16,953$13,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 12,746$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.43 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,329$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 1,779$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 1,336$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,249$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 16c | 309.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 250.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 18c | 240.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 17c | 193.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 73c | 181$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fd2abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 16c | 136.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 16c | 129.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 11c | 89.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…90d0backed Yes | 49c | 64.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 46.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 35c | 42.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 41.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 36c | 36.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed No | 77c | 32.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 79c | 28.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.