Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40f3f830a67cf844835d3efdd0b92a6975c12961c6c799b3e597793669d8c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 76c | 2,154$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,836$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.12 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 1,704$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.52 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,571$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 1,149$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked No | 76c | 989.73$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 767.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed No | 77c | 559.09$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 471.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked No | 72c | 443$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…dd5dbacked No | 70c | 319.39$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 229.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 186.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 74c | 141.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 10c | 133.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…2a2ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 33c | 89.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 29c | 51.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 26c | 51.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 30c | 42.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 28c | 41.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 76c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 76c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.