Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55947716bbb973e712289ebe90bf12965322cf18b61b8586517f6f4c209e7102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Justin Boulais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x760f…326abacked Justin Boulais | 15c | 25,412$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.36 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Justin Boulais | 1c | 10,823$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Justin Boulais | 6c | 8,648$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.9 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Justin Boulais | 15c | 5,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Boulais | 10c | 4,300$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.5 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Justin Boulais | 16c | 2,179$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Justin Boulais | 14c | 917.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Justin Boulais | 8c | 848.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Justin Boulais | 15c | 845.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Justin Boulais | 14c | 711.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Justin Boulais | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 47.9%147 W · 160 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Justin Boulais | 6c | 563$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Justin Boulais | 12c | 463.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Justin Boulais | 13c | 412.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Justin Boulais | 8c | 364.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Justin Boulais | 9c | 331.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Justin Boulais | 14c | 249.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 374 | 38.5%144 W · 230 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Justin Boulais | 9c | 166.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Justin Boulais | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Justin Boulais | 16c | 69.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Justin Boulais | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.