TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles46c18,467$8,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,464.221,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Angels52c17,404$9,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,354.1226054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles44c15,225$6,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,680.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Baltimore Orioles46c12,886$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,955.681,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels54c10,065$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,663.76,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles49c10,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels56c9,988$5,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles43c9,323$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.824,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7aa…08c3backed Baltimore Orioles48c9,258$4,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,437.167655.3%42 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles48c7,800$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75910748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels52c7,252$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.9671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels60c7,142$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Baltimore Orioles45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.9823357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Los Angeles Angels55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25016753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels52c4,586$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.344,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels56c3,519$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.8310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels53c3,168$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.176,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1938551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels56c2,692$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.0779255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Angels56c2,535$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.5573949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels51c2,294$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.774,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Baltimore Orioles49c2,042$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Los Angeles Angels55c1,965$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.265451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles47c1,931$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.753,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.841,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles44c1,710$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.561,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78428753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73527952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.641,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Los Angeles Angels51c1,340$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels51c1,170$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.791,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels51c1,079$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.692,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels53c923.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.752,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels56c900.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.221,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Baltimore Orioles49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009657.3%55 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels50c737.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.611,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles19c723.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…227fbacked Baltimore Orioles49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Baltimore Orioles50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Baltimore Orioles49c576.02$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2556253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Los Angeles Angels56c536.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3611751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Los Angeles Angels54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Los Angeles Angels54c499.05$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9640447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels52c400$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.531,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels54c345.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.11,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Angels55c337.86$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3665549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…ef8bbacked Baltimore Orioles50c301.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Baltimore Orioles48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14458652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Baltimore Orioles46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels61c286.69$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.22,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels52c271.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.458,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Los Angeles Angels53c269$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.76155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Baltimore Orioles49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Baltimore Orioles47c254.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Baltimore Orioles43c232.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3514336.4%52 W · 91 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Baltimore Orioles34c218.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3816253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Baltimore Orioles49c214.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10514655.5%81 W · 65 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Baltimore Orioles50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Angels52c193.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7664452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Baltimore Orioles52c192.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Angels53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels56c180.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.433,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Los Angeles Angels51c178.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.599636.5%35 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Los Angeles Angels52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4416135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Los Angeles Angels51c152.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2122352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Angels53c145.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1728751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2645…ccc3backed Baltimore Orioles49c142.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.882142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels55c137.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.342,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Los Angeles Angels72c136$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7617148%82 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles39c130.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels57c128.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Los Angeles Angels53c128$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels54c126$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.44,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Baltimore Orioles46c108.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Los Angeles Angels55c105.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.114257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles49c104.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Baltimore Orioles49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Baltimore Orioles49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Baltimore Orioles49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Baltimore Orioles21c101.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7455645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Angels56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3345252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Los Angeles Angels53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Baltimore Orioles44c93.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9531446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Baltimore Orioles49c88.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4110351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels70c86.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.843,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Los Angeles Angels52c81.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1912154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels52c74.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3934846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Baltimore Orioles49c71.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0523240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels56c68.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles25c66.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.491,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Baltimore Orioles49c66.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3825248.8%123 W · 129 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Los Angeles Angels56c61.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9535747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Baltimore Orioles47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.221656%121 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Los Angeles Angels52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8435650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Los Angeles Angels52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Baltimore Orioles50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Los Angeles Angels54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0817645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Los Angeles Angels52c47.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.693652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.