MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e391b7298950c538bad7893ec4e1b1ba582c0dd57524c1d522812b805b34627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 204,704$104,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,540.59 | 486 | 48.8%237 W · 249 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 50c | 173,655$86,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,555.25 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 554 | 53.2%295 W · 259 L | +22.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 95,996$49,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,400.39 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 42,248$20,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,820.29 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 32,537$15,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,593.87 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 30,275$14,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,440.25 | 750 | 50.8%381 W · 369 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 18,498$8,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.86 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 14,193$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.63 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 7,604$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.95 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 6,126$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.39 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 5,829$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.44 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 4,912$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.75 | 893 | 49.3%440 W · 453 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 4,867$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.61 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 52c | 3,365$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.23 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.23 | 393 | 51.7%203 W · 190 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,992$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.83 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 2,612$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.88 | 1,848 | 50.3%930 W · 918 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,400$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.2 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,728$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.28 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 1,607$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.5 | 1,889 | 52.9%1,000 W · 889 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 883 | 50.4%445 W · 438 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 652 | 52.5%342 W · 310 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 62c | 1,588$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 48c | 1,579$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.76 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 385 | 53.8%207 W · 178 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 49c | 1,160$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 49c | 1,151$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.18 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 61c | 983.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Under | 50c | 925.43$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 839$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 826.89$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.79 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 49c | 826.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 25c | 804.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 780$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 753.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 376.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 372$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 810 | 55.1%446 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 49c | 363.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 62c | 318.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 53c | 314.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 51c | 287.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 41c | 285.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 281.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Over | 62c | 225.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,857 | 42.3%1,632 W · 2,225 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 51c | 215.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 190.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 49c | 184.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 183.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 157.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 157.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 48c | 156.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…df7cbacked Under | 68c | 153.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 142.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 138.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 757 | 53.2%403 W · 354 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 58c | 124.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 925 | 56.3%521 W · 404 L | +30.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…ad4bbacked Under | 49c | 122.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 105.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 48c | 104.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 478 | 52.7%252 W · 226 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 48c | 102.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,221 | 50%610 W · 611 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 361 | 51.2%185 W · 176 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 550 | 51.3%282 W · 268 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 82.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Over | 18c | 80.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 72.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Under | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 141 | 64.5%91 W · 50 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 41c | 68.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Over | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 308 | 54.2%167 W · 141 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Under | 51c | 51.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 858 | 54.4%467 W · 391 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.